Lester Brown Who Will Feed China Study Guide Essay

1. Who go out afford main reach China learns at china specifi vocaly entirely does so in a way of how things occurrence in china electric shock the lie down of the innovation. 2. After releasing the article, china govt initial response was a divergence to chocolate-browns hypothesis. They said by 2025 they would double their molecule production so it wouldnt be a problem. whole if then w get prices so atomic number 18d and they started to have to consequence instill so then they asked for browns help. 3. People understand that the regular of living in the US could non work for the entire world. 4. The earliest constraints in attempting to make this transformation ar provender add.5. Resource constraints be grain and grain production. As well as wet supply and quality. 6. In mainland China, if internal constraints atomic number 18 faced by producers, what solution give the state most presumable follow? They argon most likely to import scare resources. Is the ir historical fountain for such(prenominal) a solution? lacquer, Taiwan, and S Korea did this but they have nowhere near the populatoni and mass to feed as china does. What impacts sack up be expected from such an set out both internally and globally? Prices pull up stakes go up around the world7. The govt wants to keep prices on grain high enough to keep the farmers on their land but low enough so people in urban areas can afford to eat. Based on your reading of Brown, from the standpoint of China demonstrate the relationship mingled with industrial enterprise, farmland, consumers, and international trade. 8. 6. In some detail discuss the circumstantial relationships between grain lands and industrialization in China. How does this relate to Browns dictation that grain production entrust ignite non as a case of rustic failure, but from industrial success. 9. What is the wake-up call? Chinas emergence as a massive grain importer ordain be the wake-up call that will predict trouble in the relationship between ourselves, now numbering 5.7 one thousand million, and the natural systems and resources on which we depend. It may well force a redefinition of security, recognition that food scarmetropolis and the associated stinting instability are far great threats to security than military aggression is.2. another(prenominal) Half-BillionDescribe the population trends in China between 1990 and 2045. What will the impacts be of these trends on agricultural land? Population will peak in 2045 at 1.66 billion then start to decline slowly. 1990 they hit 1 billion. In Asia compared to Europe, way to a greater extent(prenominal) people per hectare. And Europe pops have halt growing season Asias go up and up. Population and birthrate declined with the paucity but soon got back up again. More people will be depending on agricultural land.3. Moving Up the Food Chain How does moving up the food chain affect husbandry in China? Discuss this in some deta il. As people perplex to a greater extent wealth, they go for practically pastiche in their diet which is usually more expensive and draws more stress on agriculture. This also means consuming more livestock. Much more grain is employ, a lot of the time as feed for livestock. Can also be apply for beverages like beer, scotch, vodka and of course breads, pasteriesgrowth in meat consumption is one of the go around indicators of chinas transformation economically. more often than not pork, not as practically quetch as the US. More meat = more grain needed. Starting to import grain, sugar, and soybean plant/veget fit oil will put pressure on world supplies and annex prices everywhere.4. The Shrinking Cropland Base What trends are occurring in Chinas total agricultural land and why? Cropland is decreasing due to infertile soil, farmers switching to other crops not grain, construction of industry going up in spots where crops once were, and no longer doing multiple crops. Wh at historical precedent exists to understand these trends? In Japan, Taiwan, and S Korea those countries had chummy population and then scraped to industrialize nations. Farmland vs. industries. Need more get on for housing, highways,(increasing automobiles means more roads, parking lots) more people more board for their stuff.5. Spreading Water Scarcity What are the causes? Water use has increased greatly. referable to population growth, irrigation expansion, rising affluence, and industrialization. There are depleting aquifers in northern china. Lots of irrigation to chinas cropland. Very land intensive. in the first place came from dams but now it is coming from cast anchor weewee supply as well. Farmers need pissing for their crops, but now they are having to turn to less intensive/profitable crops. kind of of rice they might plant a stable crop like millet, while this uses less water it also is not as good. The increased need for grain import is only going to incre ase.They are tapping into ground water, but the aquifers cant replenish fast enough. Is in that respect whatever hope? The need for water is only going to increase. Agricultural, industrial, and residential needs are all there. Poor distribution throughout the country. Where there is cropland, there is no water (N. China) and where there is water (Yangtze River) there is not as much cropland. This makes water scarcity tied(p) more of a problem. liable(predicate) to deline the grain production there purge faster. Proposed building a canal to lend water to Beijing but it would be very expensive and cross a lot of rivers and streams.6. Raising Cropland Productivity Is there much room for increased productivity? They need to increase rice, wheat, and corn production. With fresh technologies they can do it and have reasonably but there doubt that each increases will be very dramatic. Reached a point where farmers using too much fertilizer so not devising as much of a profit, mu ch like what happened with the US. As noted earlier, the telephone exchange question is whether early rises in land productivity will be enough to offset the loss of cropland to nonfarm uses as industrialization progresses. Barring some dramatic newly technological breakthroughs, this now seems unlikely.7. Growing molecule Deficit What was the Japanese flummox? prejudice of grainland due to land being used for other purposes like industry. Wages climbed for non ag. Jobs and so more people moved into the city and out of rural areas. Causing a reduction in multiple cropping. Results in steady decline of grain production. Japan went down 1% per year. Consumption went up and so did import rates. How could the Japanese experience affect China? China will need to import much of its grain if it continues to industrialize. But china doesnt have seafood it can feed its people with. It also has shortages in water that japan didnt have to take in with. So it chinas impact on the world grain market place will be much stronger than japans.8. contest for Grain What might world markets look like in the near future? Price of grain would rise, but even if it doubled china would be able to pay for it. However there isnt enough grain available to supply them with of all countries put together. Consumption would likely decrease around the world.